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- 📈 MSC Industrial’s Earnings Test
📈 MSC Industrial’s Earnings Test
NVIDIA Nears $4 Trillion Valuation, Apple Eyes AI to Boost Siri, Google Bets on Gates’ Nuclear Energy, Home Depot Acquires GMS for $4.3B, Levelpath Secures $55M for AI Procurement
Evelio Silvera
July 01, 2025
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Starting this week, the Bull Street Daily Brief will be sent directly to your inbox from Bull Street.
Good morning.
⚡ The Fast Five → NVIDIA Nears $4 Trillion Valuation, Apple Eyes AI to Boost Siri, Google Bets on Gates’ Nuclear Energy, Home Depot Acquires GMS for $4.3B, Levelpath Secures $55M for AI Procurement
🔎 Market Trends → S&P 500, Nasdaq cap best quarter in over a year; US Futures Climb as S&P 500, Nasdaq Reach Record Highs
And now…
⏱️ Your 5-minute briefing for Tuesday, July 1, 2025:
MARKET BRIEF
Before the Open
As of market close 06/30/2025.
Pre-Market
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Fear & Greed
Markets in Review
Markets Pop as Trade Tensions Cool, Tech Powers S&P, Nasdaq to New Highs
S&P 500 +0.5% to 6,205, Nasdaq +0.5% to 20,369.7 — both notching fresh records. Dow Jones +0.6% to 44,094.8. June closed strong: Nasdaq +6.5%, S&P +5%, Dow +4.3%.
The Big Picture:
Canada blinked. Ottawa shelved its digital tax, and President Trump welcomed trade talks back to the table. That thaw helped Wall Street keep its cool — and rally.
Investors brushed off global jitters as major indices hit record highs, riding momentum from tech strength and expectations for a stable Fed stance through summer. Oil slid on OPEC+ production concerns, but gold glinted higher as inflation hedging remained in play.
Meanwhile, bond yields slipped — the 10-year dropped to 4.23% — signaling investors are betting on disinflation rather than disruption.
Market Movers:
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) surged +11.1% after reaching a DOJ settlement over its acquisition of Juniper Networks (JNPR), which jumped +8.5%. The resolution clears a path for HPE’s AI data strategy to scale.
Oracle (ORCL) climbed +4% after announcing a cloud services deal projected to add $30B+ in revenue by 2028 — a vote of confidence in long-term enterprise AI infrastructure.
Boeing (BA) fell -2.3% as its bid to acquire Spirit AeroSystems (SPR) faces a regulatory probe in the UK, reviving antitrust concerns in the aerospace sector.
What They’re Saying:
“Relief on multiple fronts — both macro and micro — has helped reset sentiment and drive risk appetite.” — Charu Chanana, Chief Strategist, Saxo Bank
WHAT WE’RE WATCHING
Events
Today: Federal Reserve - Fed Chair Powell Speaks - 9:30am
Why You Should Care: As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy;
Today: Institute for Supply Management - ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) - 10:00am
Why You Should Care: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy;
Today: Bureau of Labor Statistics - Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) Job Openings - 10:00am
Why You Should Care: Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity.
Earnings Reports
Today: Constellation Brands Inc.
Tomorrow: National Beverage Corp., Haleon plc, Unifirst Corporation
MARKET BRIEF
Leading News
MSC Industrial’s Earnings Test: Can It Power the Industrial Rally?
Photo Credit: MSC Industrial Direct
Why it matters:
MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) reports Q3 earnings today, a key gauge of industrial strength that could juice the sector’s momentum or signal caution for savvy investors.
Zoom Out:
The industrial sector’s been a quiet winner, riding the tailwinds of record S&P 500 highs and optimism over U.S.-China trade talks. MSC, a distributor of metalworking and maintenance products, drops its numbers before the bell, with analysts pegging $1.03 EPS as the line to beat. A strong report could lift industrial ETFs and spark buying in peers like Greenbrier (GBX), while a miss might cool the sector’s sizzle.
But here’s the kicker: tariffs and supply chain snags loom large. MSC’s margins could take a hit if costs spike, and its guidance will be a crystal ball for how industrials navigate a world of 2.7% inflation and Fed rate-cut chatter. With crypto miners and AI firms leaning on industrial suppliers for hardware, a robust MSC could even ripple into emerging tech.
Key Insights:
Earnings Edge: $1.03 EPS is the consensus, but whispers of strong demand for automation gear could drive an upside surprise.
Guidance Watch: MSC’s forward outlook will signal if industrial demand holds firm amid tariff threats.
Tech Ripple: A blowout quarter could boost suppliers tied to crypto mining rigs and AI data centers.
Market Pulse:
“MSC’s earnings are a litmus test for industrials—beat, and we’re off to the races; stumble, and it’s a yellow flag,” says Tom Lee, Fundstrat Global Advisors.
Bull’s Take:
MSM’s poised to outperform, igniting industrial stocks and tech-adjacent plays. Buy the dip if tariffs spook the market—long-term growth is still the name of the game.
Headlines
Mark Zuckerberg Unveils Meta Superintelligence Labs (link)
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Set To Hit $4 Trillion Market Cap (link)
Apple Explores OpenAI, Anthropic Tech to Power Siri (link)
Google Signs Deal to Buy Fusion Energy From Bill Gates-Backed Nuclear Startup (link)
Home Depot Wins Bidding War, Will Acquire GMS for $4.3B (link)
Levelpath Raises $55 Million to Scale AI-Native Enterprise Procurement Platform (link)
CRYPTO
Fear & Greed
Headlines
DAILY SHARE
On the Socials
*Hat-tip to wallstmemes
StartEngine’s $30M Surge — Own a Piece Before June 26
Private markets are having a moment, thanks to companies like StartEngine.
The leading alternative investing platform is helping everyday investors like you access deals once reserved for VCs and insiders, including exposure to private market titans like OpenAI, Databricks, and Perplexity.¹
How’s it going? In Q1 2025, StartEngine pulled off $30M in revenue, its biggest quarter ever (based on unaudited financials).²
But StartEngine isn’t just a middleman. The company earns 20% carried interest on select pre-IPO offerings, unlocking value for shareholders when these deals succeed.³
How can you tap into this diversification play? By investing in StartEngine.
StartEngine has crowdfunded $85M+ to date, and you can join 45K+ shareholders before the company’s current round closes on June 26.
Reg A+ via StartEngine Crowdfunding, Inc. No BD/intermediary involved. Investment is speculative, illiquid & high risk. See OC and Risks on page.
All content provided by Investor Lookout and Bull Street is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be taken as trading or investment recommendations.
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